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Waterman

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Reply with quote  #1 
...for an everyday, typical, working class layperson to see a professionally presented magic trick:

A. Today.

B. This Year.

C. In Their Lifetime.

Conditions being:

A. Magician Performing The Trick Cannot Be A Friend/Relative.

B. The Trick Must Be Performed Live.

C. Limited To Close-Up Performance...Street Magic Included.
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Mind Phantom

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Reply with quote  #2 
I would say C, in their lifetime. Or, that's what I think..
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Robin Dawes

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Reply with quote  #3 
If the population that you are sampling is the entire human race, then I am quite confident that the probabilities are

A: 0
B: 0
C: 0

to a high degree of accuracy.

If you limit the question to developed nations then C may be marginally above 0 ... but only marginally.
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Anthony Vinson

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Reply with quote  #4 
Agree with Blathermist: Too many variables. What's the ratio of magicians capable of professionally presenting a magic trick to typical working class laypeople? How do we define professionally? I, as a lifelong rank amateur am capable of sometimes pulling off professional level performances. Does that count? Would the typical working class layperson know the difference between an adequately performed magic trick and a professional level one? By what standard would they judge?  

At the same time, statistically speaking, I suspect that Robin is right. (Robin Wright?) But you know what Twain said about statistics, right? ;-)

 
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Waterman

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Reply with quote  #5 
Interesting perspectives! Some interesting insight.

A brief background to my original post. Several years ago at a magic club meeting one of the members began a discussion. He felt that magic,as performance art, has evolved from magicians entertaining laymen to magicians performing for other magicians...specifically close-up magic.


 

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EVILDAN

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Reply with quote  #6 
Evolved or devolved?

I agree, there are too many variables and an "everyday working class layman" isn't much of a demographic.
A person living in an area where there are street performers like Key West in Florida has a much higher rate than a rancher working a farm in Wyoming who rarely leaves his property.
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